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This has the feel of a big week. The headlines that clicked by on Bloomberg today captured a different zeitgeist than last week, a sense of a logjam of rhetoric and disconnection break open.

Commentators will have a field day, but it’s worth taking a look at how the rhythm of the news shifted.

1-21 hed 11 go 1.pngHere’s the summary of the day.

  • The activity that drives jobs and the economy — manufacturing and services — is gearing up, albeit slowly.
  • The employment market continues to stabilize.
  • Obama, faced with a strategic defeat in Massachusetts, quickly tunes into popular opinion, backs off health care and goes straight after the Wall Street titans.
  • Consumers are beginning to spend more, and the biggest Wall Street giant of them all bows to popular opinion to cut back its bonus pool, after using a Federal subsidy to post its highest earning year ever.
  • In the midst of this sudden shift in momentum, the market slides, unclear what the implications are and in a hurry to hedge its downside risk.

Here’s the highlights from Bloomberg:

U.S. Economy: Leading Index Rises More Than Forecast

The New York-based Conference Board’s gauge of the outlook for the next three to six months climbed 1.1 percent, the most in three months, after increasing 1 percent in November. The gain exceeded the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey for a 0.7 percent rise. Another report showed Philadelphia-area manufacturing expanded in January for a fifth straight month.

Factories in Philadelphia Fed Region Grew in January

Increases in exports and business investment, combined with a need to stabilize inventories, may promote further gains in manufacturing in early 2010. The report corroborates figures issued by the Fed Bank of New York last week that showed factories in that region accelerated, indicating the rebound is broad-based.

Jobless Claims in U.S. Unexpectedly Rise on Backlog

The jump was due to an “administrative” accumulation from late December and early January holidays, and did not reflect “economic” reasons, a Labor Department spokesman said.

Obama, Democrats Signal Willingness to Scale Back Health Bill

President Barack Obama and House Democratic lawmakers signaled a willingness to scale back legislation overhauling the U.S. health-care system after the party suffered a defeat in a key Senate race.

Obama Calls for Limiting Size, Risk-Taking of Banks

President Barack Obama, tapping into voter anger over bank bailouts, called for limiting the size and trading activities of financial institutions as a way to reduce risk-taking and prevent another financial crisis.

American Express Profit Surges as Spending Rebounds

“We still face the challenge of high unemployment levels, depressed real estate values, and shrunken household balance sheets, but the overall economy and our company are in stronger shape than they were a year ago,” Chenault said in the statement. “While the economic recovery now under way is likely to be modest, we expect it to continue and have begun to shift our focus to growing American Express for the longer term.”

Goldman Sachs Posts Record Profit on Bonus Pool Cuts

“The big story is the compensation,” said Keith Davis, an analyst at Farr, Miller & Washington LLC in Washington, which manages about $650 million, including Goldman Sachs shares. “They got the message that politically they can’t be paying out close to 50 percent of revenues anymore, at least for the time being. Obviously, that’s the primary reason for the beat.”

Stocks, Commodities Slide, Treasuries Gain on Obama Bank Reform

“Financials are selling off and dragging down the market,” said Michael Nasto, the senior trader at U.S. Global Investors Inc., which manages about $2.5 billion in San Antonio. “There’s concern about an overhaul of financial services companies, with increased regulation, hurting the bottom-line of banks.”

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The analyst behind the recent MerchantCircle survey of internet marketing practices by small businesses shared some of his personal highlights and conclusions from the research on his blog last week.

Greg Sterling looks at the data and sees some big emerging trends and opportunities.

First, while a large percentage of the respondents are using social media, there is a big gap in their perception of its effectiveness.  The problem:  Too hard.

We also asked “What is your biggest complaint about online marketing?” Here were the top answers (aided response):

  1. Too costly
  2. Not enough time to do it well and still run a business
  3. Too many places to advertise
  4. Needs a dedicated person and don’t have the budget to hire one
  5. Not effective
  6. Too complex and confusing

In other surveys, too complex comes out as the top or one of the top two responses — another indicator that this population is somewhat different and “ahead of the curve.”

Sterling’s believes that there will be market demand for services that can help to solve this practical problems and demonstrate real value to their clients.

  • There’s pent up demand for simple, cost-effective online marketing solutions/tools
  • There’s a large group of SMBs that will self-serve if the options are simple and the value proposition is clear
  • There’s considerable danger for traditional media as SMBs are starting to more aggressively investigate alternatives

These conclusions are a nice coda to some of the research from TMP and Compete that I shared in a previous post.

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What I write about and why

July 27, 2009

A good blog has a central focus that allows it to advance a conversation, both within the confines of the blog and the broader scope of the topic, and that gives its readers a predictable and satisfying experience.
As the audience for this blog has grown, I’ve been sensitive to the fact that I’m not adhering [...]

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The complex prospects for consumer consumption

July 7, 2009

Look at current commentary on the state of the economy and a few hot topics pop to the forefront. First, consumers: What will they spend, where will they spend it, what will they save and will they have jobs?
The folklore of our current plight is that a turbo-charged consumer drove the economic expansion [...]

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The era of ad contraction: Summer looks slow for online advertising

June 8, 2009

A bearish outlook for online advertising over the summer.

clipped from www.feedly.com

Analyst: Online Advertising Market Is About To Get Worse

The consensus as of late seems to be that while ad sales have been down, they are stabilizing. Benchmark Capital analyst Clayton Moran says not so fast. In a [...]

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