Posts tagged as:

Business cycle

eMarketer sees online advertising growth rebounding to double-digit levels, after experiencing a lull during the recession.

The forecast projects online spending will come close to $100 billion by 2014. Online share of total media spending will gain significantly.

The internet’s share of total ad spending worldwide will jump from 11.9% in 2009 to 17.2% in 2014. Continued high growth in the online space coupled with a 2009 spending decrease of 10.5% for total media, followed by a slower recovery, will help online get an ever-larger slice of the ad spending pie.

This is one sign of an economic recovery: bullish forecasts.

Posted via email from Dan McCarthy’s Stream

Share

{ 1 comment }

The cheapest food in the world

by drm on July 5, 2010


I was struck the other day by the observation that the start of our current recession was sharper than the Great Depression and that the steps taken by governments around the world to provide financial stimulus helped to moderate the decline.

That observation got me thinking about how different the images of this recession are from the images of the Great Depression.

The New York Times had a long article in the Week in Review section this week that captured some of the underlying difference.

A great many people have lost faith in powerful institutions, from Congress to Goldman Sachs. Yet beneath the bitterness coloring national affairs — down at the level of neighborhood, family, coffee shop, tavern — a tenuous belief in the collective good remains, perhaps moderating national dismay.

I don’t think that the Times article intended to demean the level of suffering and pain that individual people a experiencing during this downturn. But they captured something of the zeitgeist that I experience as a I travel around the country. People are carrying on, often with a tremendous amount of energy and a degree of mobility and connectedness that is unmatched by any time in our history.

That perspective made the chart above particularly powerful.

One dramatic difference is the relatively low cost of food in the U.S. compared to other places in the world. The affordability of food is driven by diverse factors, including vast natural resources of our country, federal subsidy programs, efficiencies in distribution and innovations in preservation.

And compared to other countries, there’s no other place on the planet that has cheaper food than the U.S. (2008 data here). The 5.5% of disposable income that Americans spend on food at home is less than half the amount of income spent by Germans (11.4%), the French (13.6%), the Italians (14.4%), and less than one-third the amount of income spent by consumers in South Africa (20.1%), Mexico (24.1%), and Turkey (24.5%), which is about what Americans spent DURING THE GREAT DEPRESSION, and far below what consumers spend in Kenya (45.9%) and Pakistan (45.6%).

When you don’t worry about where your next meal comes from, you can afford to feel optimistic and energetic. The relatively low cost of food in our country is an important element in keeping that positive viewpoint up

Share

{ 1 comment }

Some economic reasons why we don’t need to keep looking over our shoulders.

April 9, 2010

I was reminded this week of a primary premise in evolutionary psychology: we’re genetically programmed to emphasize information about danger and minimize information about pleasure.
This is a gross simplification of interesting science, but is a useful overlay to the confluence of economic statistics and contradictory commentary in recent weeks.
In today’s New York Times, the [...]

Share
3 comments Read the full article →

Consumers are making small, meaningful changes in spending patterns, Harris Poll shows

February 22, 2010

The Great Recession — a term that is gaining more popular momentum — has had a meaningful shift on how consumers are spending money. A recent Harris Poll captures the consistency with which people are looking at their personal expenses and looking for ways to save some money.

Look at the trending pattern of what [...]

Share
0 comments Read the full article →

The change in consumer consumption reflects a long-term shift in U.S. demographics related to aging

January 18, 2010

Here’s an underlying issue for a consumer-driven economy: a change in demographics will reduce the volume of consumer spending.
From Nielsen’s research blog:
CPG Spending Declines
As population growth slows in the U.S., so will spending on consumer products. Household size will decline across the board, the largest families will be smaller and a large share of [...]

Share
0 comments Read the full article →

Three charts that help explain the challenges for local economies

January 11, 2010

These three charts help frame why the current economic climate doesn’t feel like a recovery.
State tax receipts have experienced a dramatic decline.

As retail sales drop, so do retail tax receipts, a big driver of local tax revenue.

As long as people are out of work, retail sales will be supressed. The current spate of job [...]

Share
0 comments Read the full article →

Looking at some long-term trends in the employment numbers

January 8, 2010

A new data point emerged in the reporting on the job figures today: the employment population ratio. The metric a fairly absolute measuring stick: What percentage of the people in the United States, of any age, are employed at anyone time.
One version of the data is presented below in a chart from [...]

Related Posts with Thumbnails
Share
2 comments Read the full article →