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Economics

The headlines announcing that Bank of America has stopped processing foreclosures in order to assess their internal controls are difficult to process.  On one hand, this sound like a good thing, because if the pace of foreclosures slows it will diminish the number of families under stress and lighten the overhang of foreclosed properties on the housing market.  On the other hand, you don’t get foreclosed on until you’ve stopped paying your mortgage, right?  So what’s the big deal.

To sort it out, I recommend you follow the five-part series that kicked off today at Barry Ritholtz’ The Big Picture.  The post is authored by Mike Konczal, a fellow at The Roosevelt Institute.

The big question at play isn’t just whether the mortgage processors have been playing fair with homeowners.  It’s whether the financial institutions actually know where the original mortgage documentation is.   Can they produce the piece of paper they need to have to demonstrate the lien on the property?

The issue is captured neatly in a two-part graphic, reproduced below.

NewImage.jpg

As the post points out, the issue of whether or not the mortgages can be found has significant implications for the financial players.

So keep these frameworks in mind when you see the debate unfold in the next weeks. It is a problem of systemic risk, and it is a problem for the currently cratered securitization market. It will need to be addressed, the sooner the better.  But how?

What should we all make of this?  Consider it a last, bad joke on the part of the financial services industry.  This new “foreclosure crisis” has nothing to do with home values or the ability of home owners to make payments of mortgages.  But, it has a lot of potential to slow down the housing market, at a point that the market doesn’t need any more headwinds.

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eMarketer sees online advertising growth rebounding to double-digit levels, after experiencing a lull during the recession.

The forecast projects online spending will come close to $100 billion by 2014. Online share of total media spending will gain significantly.

The internet’s share of total ad spending worldwide will jump from 11.9% in 2009 to 17.2% in 2014. Continued high growth in the online space coupled with a 2009 spending decrease of 10.5% for total media, followed by a slower recovery, will help online get an ever-larger slice of the ad spending pie.

This is one sign of an economic recovery: bullish forecasts.

Posted via email from Dan McCarthy’s Stream

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The cheapest food in the world

July 5, 2010

I was struck the other day by the observation that the start of our current recession was sharper than the Great Depression and that the steps taken by governments around the world to provide financial stimulus helped to moderate the decline.
That observation got me thinking about how different the images of this recession are from [...]

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NCI announces that it has opened restructuring discussions with its creditors

June 4, 2010

Yesterday we announced that our company,  Network Communications, Inc. , had opened conversations with its creditors in order to restructure its balance sheet.  The  development was reported in Business Week and has appeared in numerous news outlets across the web.
The Business Week reporter did a balanced job in describing the situation.  I think one quote sums it [...]

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A glimpse of how things are looking up for realtors

May 9, 2010

Harvard professor Mark Perry has been one observer who has consistently chronicled the silver lining in the recovery, sharing discrete pieces of data that show the economic engine gearing smartly back up.
Last Friday, he shared another in a series of posts that have looked at the recovery in local real estate markets. The subject [...]

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The recession, household formation, the housing market and the recovery in the rental markets

April 9, 2010

The U.S. economy lost more than 1 million households during the recession, even as the population grew more than 3.5 million, driving down home ownership and increasing rental vacancies at a rate that hasn’t been experienced in more than a generation.
Just as economic distress reduced households, economic recovery will increase households, concludes USC professor Gary [...]

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Some economic reasons why we don’t need to keep looking over our shoulders.

April 9, 2010

I was reminded this week of a primary premise in evolutionary psychology: we’re genetically programmed to emphasize information about danger and minimize information about pleasure.
This is a gross simplification of interesting science, but is a useful overlay to the confluence of economic statistics and contradictory commentary in recent weeks.
In today’s New York Times, the [...]

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