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Economy

Harvard professor Mark Perry has been one observer who has consistently chronicled the silver lining in the recovery, sharing discrete pieces of data that show the economic engine gearing smartly back up.

Last Friday, he shared another in a series of posts that have looked at the recovery in local real estate markets. The subject of this post: Minneapolis.



Perry points the steady improvement over the past three years in price, value and velocity. The year-to-date numbers show consistent trends, he points out.

I’m struck by the impact on the economic vitality of real estate agents. Commission income has bounced back to where it was in 2008. With fewer agents in the market, that should mean the opportunity for agents to boost earnings is significant.

Agents will play a big factor in the continued recovery of the resale home market: the more confident and upbeat they are, the more excited home buyers and sellers will be.

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Throughout our businesses at NCI, we’re seeing signs of increased consumer activity.

One notable one has been the uptick in activity from apartment shoppers.

In the first quarter of 2010, inquiries from apartment shoppers to communities (phone calls and e-mails) from Apartment Finder‘s print and internet products have increased 44% from the last three months of 2009.

That’s a big shift in activity. And, it’s confirming of reports from property managers and reflective of the improvement in the job market.

How’s that for a green shoot?

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The recession, household formation, the housing market and the recovery in the rental markets

April 9, 2010

The U.S. economy lost more than 1 million households during the recession, even as the population grew more than 3.5 million, driving down home ownership and increasing rental vacancies at a rate that hasn’t been experienced in more than a generation.
Just as economic distress reduced households, economic recovery will increase households, concludes USC professor Gary [...]

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Looking for a rousing rebound? Think again…

September 21, 2009

Sometimes complex questions benefit from succinct analysis.
Joe Weisenthal at Business Insider disposes of the popular notion that we’re heading for a V-shaped recovery in this post.
A V-shaped recovery can’t come to an economy in the midst of dramatic change, he points out.
New technology and new business models are uprooting old businesses (whether it’s media, [...]

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Mauldin prognosis: Muddling through

July 25, 2009

Pictures of what a recovery looks like are beginning to emerge in commentary about recent economic results and the mid-term outlook.
The development is natural: once the bottom gets called, attention turns to how a recovery will develop. It’s a mystifying and frustrating element of the media cycle: all heads turn in one [...]

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The arithmetic of bouncing off the bottom

July 24, 2009

Princeton professor Alan Blinder made a very clear, cogent argument in the Wall Street Journal today that the second of 2009 could outstrip expectations, a by-product of the economy bottoming out in the second quarter.The catch: While GDP is likely to grow, the consumer experience is going to lag. Production is down, [...]

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Standard of living is relative to history

July 21, 2009

From Cafe Hayek:

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