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real estate marketing

Real estate agents and brokers are faced with more choices — and more contradictory claims — than ever in how they distribute listings, connect with consumers and promote their brand. Real estate marketing used to be a pretty straightforward activity; now, it can consume big chunks of a realtor’s time, energy and money if not managed in a focused and sensible way.

I was asked recently to give a speech on how print media fit into a multi-channel real estate marketing program. Preparing my remarks, I realized that you couldn’t justify the inclusion of one marketing outlet over another in any program until you’d created a solid set of principles for the overall marketing program. And, with so much complexity and choice, those principles needed to be clear and simple.

In order to compete effectively and to leverage new tools efficiently, a realtor needs to apply three basic rules to their marketing program:

  • Distribute your listings everywhere on the internet, so that your properties are included in as many consumer searches as possible;
  • Invest in marketing outlets that let you stand out from the crowd and create tangible leads for your personal business;
  • Commit energy and focus on networking, particularly on digital platforms.

Applying these three rules make its much easier for realtors to decide how to take advantage of the  alternatives that are available to them and helps to drown out some of the noise generated by passionate advocates for specific solutions.

Each of the rules benefits from a little context.

Rule 1: Place your listings everywhere

The first rule is designed to take advantage of the way that consumers are using the Internet — as a limitless database of home-specific information.

While the “Internet” is a huge real estate space, it’s also a fragmented space. In February, for instance, there were more than 226 million searches on Google for “real estate.” More than 55 million consumers visited a real estate web site in February, according to Comscore/Media Metrix.

That activity, which is fairly consistent with prior months, came in a month when only 308,000 homes were sold.

So, while consumers are doing an incredible amount of research online every month about real estate, only a fraction of them are actual Buyers and Sellers.

three key priorities.pngFrom a marketing perspective, it’s difficult to find an affordable way to have a maximum impact by paying to promote enhanced internet listings. The first challenge is how many different sites consumers go to. You can’t find any one site that delivers the majority of the 55 million people who visited a real estate site. Realtor.com and Zillow are the two largest, with more than 6 million unique visitors, according to Comscore/Media Metrix. The third most visited site is MSN, at 5 million, and more than 11 sites have more than 1 million visitors each month.

In fact, the top 5 real estate sites have relatively little overlap in visitors.

This fragmentation means that a realtor has to focus on inclusion of their listings in every site, not over-relying on one or two sites.

Consumers expect to find listings in the leading web services. For a realtor who wants to be successful in working with consumers, internet presence is a baseline requirement.

This emphasis, however, can drive misdirected marketing investments, which leads to the second rule of realtor marketing.

In our research of home buyers and sellers at NCI, we’ve found that a visible commitment to advertising and marketing is a key decision driver for why consumers work with specific realtors.

75% of homes sellers said that an realtor’s ongoing advertising program was very or extremely important in their selection of a listing agent. In fact, 76% said marketing skills were one of the most important selection attributes. Home buyers reported high recall of agent advertising and that visibility was a primary driver of their selecting a specific agent to work with.

Rule 2:  Stand out from the crowd

When a realtor considers paid advertising, their focus needs to be on how visible their advertising investment makes them and how many measurable instances of business activity they will get from that investment.

Think about it: if 54 million people are searching real estate web site, but only 308,000 homes are sold in a month, that means that a lot of people are going to be looking at listings — and seeing a realtor’s personal information — without taking action. Being a frequent and visible presence in their search is going to benefit a realtor.

The challenge is how to find cost-effective and time-saving ways to become frequent and visible.

It doesn’t always mean trying to enhance your personal profile wherever real estate information appears. It means investing in a marketing platform that makes you stand out.

This was the point in my presentation that I highlighted the benefits of The Real Estate Book’s integrated media approach, combing print presence in a four-color catalog of homes with distribution of listing data to more than 40 web sites, including therealestatebook.com, with more than 1 million unique visitors a month.

The Real Estate Book makes a real estate agent stand out. We can demonstrate that the book is getting looked at by consumers. We can demonstrate that we drive phone calls, e-mails and web traffic to realtors. And, we can demonstrate that we do this at a reasonably cost in a format that takes very little time to execute.

The Real Estate Book isn’t the only way to stand out. Many realtors still use traditional signage at grocery stores, on benches or on billboards. The key is that these realtors understand that just having their listings appear in web searches doesn’t make them stand out enough to increase their share of their real estate market. (Of course, I do believe that The Real Estate Book is the BEST way to stand out in the local market!)

The explosion of home information on the Internet has not just changed the way that realtors need to think about marketing, it has also changed the way that they need to think about networking with consumers.

I’ve heard many agents bemoan the challenges of working with home sellers and buyers who have too much information from online sites and who think that they are experts.

The important thing for all of us to understand is that the consumer isn’t just get smarter, they are becoming more enthusiastic.

The National Association of Realtors has an interesting fact that shows that home buyers who rely exclusively on the internet for home information take twice as long to buy a home and visit three times as many homes as other home buyers.

This is the description of an enthusiast — they love to get deep into the topic, love to gather information and love to experience things.

Rule 3:  Network — in person & digitally

This expanding passion for home information creates a priceless opportunity for real estate agents to engage and excite potential buyers and sellers.

With the explosion of social media tools, this kind of enthusiast networking can shift onto digital platforms, like Facebook. This social networking activity is the core of the third rule of effective real estate marketing: increase your networking activity by leveraging digital tools.

Too many real estate agents believe that they can show their expertise by mailing out data about market trends and other real-estate topics. In fact, the best way to keep the interest of prospective buyers and sellers it to communicate your passion for real estate by sharing updates on social networks like Facebook that show you being active and engaged in the business of homes. These networks can share a new listing that you saw, or an interesting sale that occurred, or the reason why a new part of town has become so attractive. They are short, smart and informative updates. They help people who have connected with you through all your other marketing activity to see just how active a realtor you are.

re marketing balance.png

One of the key points of my speech was that the proper application of these three rules should balance effort, cost and return. The graphic above outlines the relative relationship of these three elements.

The broad distribution of your home listings should be very low cost and should go very wide. Marketing opportunities where you stand out and create business activity will require more cash investment and should have more measurable results. And your networking activities should be at the core of your marketing program; these will be of varying cost, depending on the approach you decide to take.

The component of the program that is more variable is the opportunities that make you stand out. A realtor can build a practice out of broad distribution of listings and very strong networking. Our experience shows us that there is a limit to how large that practice can be, because consumers maintain their bias towards working with realtors who are visible marketers, and any kind of high visibility requires some investment of cost.

Inevitably, when I make this last point, someone points to their blog and social media activity and says, “I am able to get a lot of visibility without spending money.”time is money.png

Time is Money. If you have the time and the talent to build visibility using social media tools and creating your own content, then you have been able to drive a sweat investment into a real asset. The reality is that most realtors don’t have the skills and disposition to do that kind of work. It’s important to the future of those realtors business that they can apply a set of principles to their marketing that makes them relevant, current and successful.

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I saw a chart this week that got me thinking about the dynamics of supply and demand in the housing market.

The data looks back at new home construction over the last 10 years and shows a remarkable decline in permits and homes from the height reached in 2006. The data also shows a boom in inventory in the four years between 2002 and 2006, well above levels ever seen before.

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When you dig into the data more deeply, you realize that the current low volume of home construction is more of an aberration than the recent boom.

Go all the way back to 1959 and you’ll see that the new home market cranked out 1.5 million homes a year like clockwork. The creation of new housing looked like an orderly expansion of home inventory to satisfy the demand driven by population growth and household formation.

In fact, the lowest seasonally adjusted annual rate for new home starts before the current slump was 798,000 in January 1991. In February 1991, the number bounced up to 965,000.

So, our current situation is unprecedented. The annual rate of new home starts hasn’t broken 600,000 in any month since December 2008.

That got me wondering about the dynamics of supply and demand and the characteristics of a rebound in the housing market.

The core driver of demand is population. Demand is mitigated by changes in the velocity of household formation, which is influenced by job creation and economic conditions. Over the past three years, while new home construction has dived from 2.2 million to under 600,000, the population of the United State has gained 8.1 million people, or 2.7%.

In prior economic slowdowns, the number of households in the U.S. has declines, as families reconstitute and people move in together. The average household size in the U.S. is 2.5 people, so an increase in population of 8 million suggests that 3.2 million households were created since 2006. So, even if there is a decline in 2009 of 1 million or so, there are still 2 million more households than existed in 2006.

Since 2006, roughly 2 million homes have been built, generally in line with the increase in household creation.

The demand for housing is severely surpressed currently, as demonstrated by the continued low unit sales and the double digit percentage drop in home prices.

What drove that?

I thought that it might be helpful to look at the trends in home ownership.

The home ownership rate increased 130 basis points from 2000 to 2008. However, the rate has declined from a high of 69.1% in 2005 to a current level of 67.3% in the first quarter of 2009. The rate of decline has significantly slowed; in fact, home ownership levels were the same in512F41F3-9C5A-4024-AC3F-E0783D4170AB.jpg the last quarter of 2008 as the first quarter of 2009.

I found one interesting fact in looking at the home ownership rate: the housing bust has had it starkest toll on 39 and younger, for whom the home ownership rate has declined by more than 200 basis points. The home ownership rate among households led by people over 40 have been stable during the downturn.

Home ownership is calculated in such a way that changes in household formation will create noise in the data. Home ownership simply divides the number of owner-occupied housing units by the total number of occupied housing units. It doesn’t take into account units that are being held off the market, perhaps for sale, or are vacant for other reasons. So in a period of shifting household formation and significant turnover in the housing stock, home ownership could remain high even as the total housing supply outstrips demand.

To get a better sense of the relation between supply and demand, I went back and looked at the relationship between total housing units and population.

The chart below groups housing units into three buckets: occupied units are those that have people living in them either as owners or renters; Transaction units are those units that are vacant, but have either been sold or rented, or are for sale. Held off market units are units that are held for occasional use, temporarily occupied by people who have a usual residence elsewhere or are vacant for other reasons.

housing unit data.jpgLooking at the series of figures, a couple of interesting trends can be identified. First, transaction units as a percentage of total units has grown steadily since 1995, but dropped slightly in the first quarter of 2009. This is a logical consequence of inventories swelling and sales velocity decreasing during the housing bust. The decline in the first quarter of 2009 reflects a stabilizing of the housing market and the slow working off of inventory.transaction unit chart.jpg
Interestingly, the number of homes held off market has also swelled and is up in the first quarter of 2009 versus prior year. I don’t have any access to the specific components that are driving the increase, but its reasonable to think that a number of homes are currently vacant without being for sale, either because of foreclosure activity or abandonment.

Looking at the total number of viable housing units — those that are owner occupied, in a transaction or held off market — in relation to total population over time gives us some perspective on how the equilibrium between supply and demand has shifted over the past several years.

housing units as % of population.jpgFrom 2002 to 2005, the ratio of viable housing units relative to the total population dropped below 40%, after holding at that level above that level for about 12 years. That decline in the ratio suggests that 2.5 to 3.0 million more homes were created than necessarily required by the population.

That’s the inventory that is getting worked off today. Assuming that new home sales are in the 500,000 range in 2009, virtually all of the excess new home inventory will have worked through the system by the middle of 2010.

The data supports a scenario that has the real estate marketing strengthening through 2009 and beginning to recover in 2010. There is nothing that suggests that there will be a radical increase in home values; at the point of recovery, the overall housing supply should be relatively in line with the demand. New home construction and multi-family construction will need to rebound in order to supply the demand, and the market should heat up somewhat in terms of transactions as people feel good homes are getting a little more difficult to find. But overall, the housing market will be back in balance and will grow in the kind of orderly and logical way that it did in the last half of the 20th century.

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The changing media mix in real estate marketing: Notes from my Kelsey Presentation

March 19, 2009

The decline in agent income has made no-cost marketing channels more attractive, even if they are more time consuming.

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Twitter Updates for 2009-02-25

February 25, 2009

How do your arms feel after? http://tinyurl.com/9vod3g #
Starting presentation for #Kelsey Group conference on real estate marketing. Need some themes on shifts in market. #
Gd insght RT @nikiscevak: we failed was bcse of ‘a lack of a commitment to the truth’. fantastic speech on ‘cust dev’: http://bit.ly/q5amv #
Beer consumption sales down sharply in Q4. [...]

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Preparing for my Kelsey presentation

February 25, 2009

I’ve been invited to speak on March 16th at the Kelsey Group’s Interactive Local Media conference in Los Angeles. Yesterday, the assignment outline for my panel arrived in my in-box: I’m speaking with Chip Perry of AutoTrader and we’re both being asked to give a little “State of the Industry” update at the outset.
When [...]

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Agent Tool: Top 5 Program from RIS

February 23, 2009

Alan Dalton & RIS Media team up for Top 5 program to help promote the top-producing agents in local markets.

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