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In the 455 posts since I launched ViralHousingFix on January 4, 2009, there hasn’t been a longer gap than the one between Post 454 and this post, number 455:  11 days.

The workbook I use for my professional notes is chock full from the past two weeks, and the program I store interesting snippets in has a long backlog, but there haven’t been any posts.

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Being busy with a lot of exciting developments at NCI is part of the explanation.  Getting engaged in a personal writing project is another.  But there are a couple of other reasons for the fallow spell that I think might be interesting to those of you who follow this blog regularly.

The first is that I’ve stepped back for a bit to see how things are going to turn out.  Over the past 16 months, I’ve written and shared a lot of analysis of the economy and the housing market.  The two big questions were exactly what the composition of the recession was and what the beginning of the recovery would look like.

Right now, we’re in the recovery and it’s a choppy and uncertain time.  The macro trends have been positive, as a fairly random selection of charts picked from the blog Carpe Diem shows.  Our business at NCI is hyper-local and consumer-driven, and our experience is showing us that while the recovery has settled people’s nerves, it is neither expansive or extended enough to dramatically shift consumer sentiment to the degree that households are getting reformed and the consumer’s near term outlook is upbeat.

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That sense of stasis has diminished my urgency to write about economic trends.  I don’t feel like there’s anyway to really project when consumers are going to have a baseline change in outlook.  It’s going to happen.  When it happens we’ll be happy about it, and a little surprised that we didn’t see it happening at the outset.

In a New York Times column, Jack Stack, CEO of SRC Holdings, Inc., summed up the current zeitgeist:

The funny thing is that despite their recent success, most of these folks seem reluctant to acknowledge that things have gotten better. Why? Well, I have two theories about that: one, people feel so burned by the last few years that they still fear a double dip — and they’re still waiting for another shoe to drop.

I think that’s a pretty good characterization.

A second reason for the dry spell on the blog is that I’ve been digging in on the learnings that we’ve developed around our DigitalSherpa social media marketing service over the past year.  It’s been pretty rich and exciting, and part of an overall organization audit and assessment that we’re doing across the service.

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I haven’t written about the things I’ve learned because there’s a lot to synthesize:  the outcomes and experiences of more than 1000 client engagements.  We’ve essentially got thousands and thousands of proof points around the power of content marketing on social platforms, the relative value of different types of engagement, and the impact that a consistent content marketing plan has on search traffic and referrals.

Some of the facts are fun for their sheer scale.  For instance, we’ve generated more than 1 million social interactions for our clients in the multi-family space since launching CommunitySherpa last summer.  Some of the facts are engaging for their business impact:  one client has been able to cut more than $200,000 of search marketing spend because of the impact of the content marketing program that we’ve executed.  (That $200,000+ savings is net of the cost of the program, by the way.)

When you man a blog single-handedly, you’re going to experience ebbs and flows.  What you were writing about isn’t always what you are going to be writing about, and when you get to a juncture where you see a new avenue to explore, sometimes you just need to set back and sift through facts for a while.

The last three weeks have been partly busy and partly sifting time.  Thanks for your patience.  The one thing that has really impressed me is how strong the traffic to the blog has stayed.  That’s because of the way that all of you have used the content — the sharing, the commenting and the reading.  I appreciate it.

 

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Every marketer knows that the negative option is your friend: it increases response, renewals and profits.

As a result, the negative option can turn into a hiding place for the unscrupulous marketer. The technique can be deployed in a technically correct way, but can be so cynical about the energy and intelligence of the average consumer that it violates a basic trust of the pact between a consumer and a brand.

It’s discouraging to see Facebook slipping into the shadows of unscrupulous direct marketers, and its heartening to see Google, despite it’s position as the grand behemoth of the web, work to stay true to its core values of respect and goodness, as subjective and ultimately impossible to deliver on those values are.

First, a little detail on the negative option. A negative option require the consumer of a product to take an action to discontinue some feature or attribute of the product or service. One popular use of the negative option is when a service gets your agreement to charge your credit card automatically for the renewal of a service. I was reminded of the power of this option over the weekend when I saw two renewal charges hit my credit card for cloud software applications that I no longer use. Here’s a good definition of the practice.

Another example is when a function is installed in a software platform and you have the ability to shift to another option. The most commonly recognized example of this negative option is the installation of Microsoft Explorer with each install of Windows. Millions of dollars of lawyers fees and the injection of the Federal legal system created a higher degree of visibility for other browser options. The fact that Firefox can have such substantial market share is a testament to the power creating clarity around consumer choice can have in opening up markets.

As I shared last week, Facebook has dramatically evolved its definition of privacy over the past several years. Over the weekend, Dan Kaplan pointed me to a striking graphic that compares the approach to privacy at Facebook today to different points over the past several years ago.


I spent some time inside Facebook with the goal of looking at all the privacy options from the perspective of a newbie.

The menus were lengthy, the options various, the language specific to the vernacular of Facebook and the process was confusing.

The entire system creates a disincentive to changing your privacy settings at the outset. The more likely outcome for a user is that they will go tackle the privacy settings once the horse is out of the barn and something has happened on their account that makes them angry, frightened, ashamed or embarrassed.

The approach is a far cry from where Facebook started, with an industrial design that was meant to replicate the insularity of social groups by keeping access to information directly within your privileged community.

Of course, Facebook can point to the high degree of control a consumer has over the service and say, That’s what we do. But that isn’t the starting point. The starting point is a much more open and sharing identity.

I was struck by a bit of research recently that canvassed 450 new Facebook users about how they used the system. They identified its benefits more along the line of a search engine than a social networking tool. That is a striking shift in product definition.

Of course, the value to Facebook of more openness, more search and more
databased information is that it creates the opportunity for more advertising activity. Therein lies a revenue strategy that can take advantage of the vast user base the service has created.

Google over the past year has attempted several similar expansions of it’s relationship with its users. The best example was the rollout of Google Buzz, which, we quickly discovered, was sharing activity with other people in our network without our explicit intent.

To Google’s credit, it quickly reworked the system so that we had to choose to share, rather than having a negative option that assumed we wanted to share.

The utility of buzz was diminished, but Google’s integrity reclaimed.

If you wonder why Google and Facebook have such different approaches to privacy, consumer-driven options and product design, the relative revenues of the two companies is a good starting point to unraveling the mystery.

Google has a vast pool of highly profitable revenue to protect. Anything that besmirches its brand and diminishes search traffic will have an immediate impact on their bottom line. Changing their approach to a service like Google Buzz is not just the right thing to do, it is the fiscally prudent thing to do.

Facebook doesn’t have that revenue model unlocked yet. As a result, trying things that will drive a higher revenue per user outcome is of the primary importance; in that matrix, it is unfortunately possible to loose the kind of laser focus on the consumer that ultimately drives the best experience.

Here’s what that focus looks like. In 2001, I sat in the Google offices and tried to sell Page and Brin a self-publishing tool that was a very early form of blogging software. A talented team of former Netscape engineers had developed the tool as part of a special-interest portal called Themestream. We weren’t able to get further funding for the service and were trying to unwind the assets and recover some of the investment for our backers, Kleiner Perkins, Redpoint Venture and some individual Investors led by the late Mike Homer.

My pitch to Page and Brin was that the more content there was in the web, the more inventory they would have created. While they didn’t want to compete with the big media brands, our self-publishing tool would give them a platform for consumers to generate more content on the web.

This was early in their commercial evolution. Eventually, they would move into the development of tools and bring the Blogger platform into their fold. But Page articulated their basic premise with clarity and consistency. “We want to organize information for people to find. That’s our one purpose. We’ll work the revenue out around that purpose.”

He was a young guy. I was a seasoned executive. His approach could have seemed immature and inflexible. At the time though it seemed sensible, focused and inspired.

What is Facebook’s singular focus?

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Yahoo! & AOL get compared to Google, but should probably fear Facebook

May 3, 2010

Yahoo! chief Carol Bartz made an interesting point about Google in an interview with the BBC today:
“Google is going to have a problem because Google is only known for search,” said Ms Bartz. “It is only half our business; it’s 99.9% of their business. They’ve got to find other things to do.  Google has to [...]

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Eric Brown & the new direction of marketing

November 9, 2009

At different points in my life, as I’ve begun to work through a problem that I find particularly engaging and energizing, I’ve been fortunate to stumble across people who have by-passed confusion and moved straight to the actions that create the new and exciting thing that I’m only beginning to see.
The most recent time this [...]

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Digital search vs. human search: Exploring a premise and citing an example

April 13, 2009

The discussion of how Twitter and Facebook can cut into Google’s search hegemony prompted me to try to capture the differences in a schematic representation.

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