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The New York Times

Go read this five-part blog series from Erroll Morris and then ask yourself the question, How do I make sure that I know when I’m wrong?

Morris is writing about a condition termed Anosognosia, which you can broadly define as not having a clue how wrong you are. No matter how smart we are, none of us are exempt from the condition: we all will encounter the famous “unknown unknowns” that influence our life on a macro- and micro- scale.


As one expert tells Morris:

But when you’re incompetent, the skills you need to produce a right answer are exactly the skills you need to recognize what a right answer is.

The challenge for those of us who are in positions in responsibility is to minimize the potential for anosognostic behavior as much a possible.

The most important way to do this on a daily basis is to try to see things through other people’s eyes. When someone presents an alternative point of view, no matter how aggressively or impolitely, we are obligated to try to understand how that point of view makes sense to them.

When you are in a position of putative power and authority this is one of the hardest disciplines to exercise. But it is one of the most important.

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The cheapest food in the world

by drm on July 5, 2010


I was struck the other day by the observation that the start of our current recession was sharper than the Great Depression and that the steps taken by governments around the world to provide financial stimulus helped to moderate the decline.

That observation got me thinking about how different the images of this recession are from the images of the Great Depression.

The New York Times had a long article in the Week in Review section this week that captured some of the underlying difference.

A great many people have lost faith in powerful institutions, from Congress to Goldman Sachs. Yet beneath the bitterness coloring national affairs — down at the level of neighborhood, family, coffee shop, tavern — a tenuous belief in the collective good remains, perhaps moderating national dismay.

I don’t think that the Times article intended to demean the level of suffering and pain that individual people a experiencing during this downturn. But they captured something of the zeitgeist that I experience as a I travel around the country. People are carrying on, often with a tremendous amount of energy and a degree of mobility and connectedness that is unmatched by any time in our history.

That perspective made the chart above particularly powerful.

One dramatic difference is the relatively low cost of food in the U.S. compared to other places in the world. The affordability of food is driven by diverse factors, including vast natural resources of our country, federal subsidy programs, efficiencies in distribution and innovations in preservation.

And compared to other countries, there’s no other place on the planet that has cheaper food than the U.S. (2008 data here). The 5.5% of disposable income that Americans spend on food at home is less than half the amount of income spent by Germans (11.4%), the French (13.6%), the Italians (14.4%), and less than one-third the amount of income spent by consumers in South Africa (20.1%), Mexico (24.1%), and Turkey (24.5%), which is about what Americans spent DURING THE GREAT DEPRESSION, and far below what consumers spend in Kenya (45.9%) and Pakistan (45.6%).

When you don’t worry about where your next meal comes from, you can afford to feel optimistic and energetic. The relatively low cost of food in our country is an important element in keeping that positive viewpoint up

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A model of disruption: Why do I care how I get to the NY Times?

March 5, 2010

The single content brand that I’ve had the longest relationship in my life is The New York Times.
Even though I grew up in New England, a highlight of the week was when my dad went and got the Sunday papers — the Boston Globe, the Providence Journal and The New York Times.
Five decades later, the [...]

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Good reads for Feb 1, 2010

February 1, 2010

So, you ask yourself, is the entire world of social networking focused in Facebook. No, it isn’t. Here’s a good essay from the CEO of myYearbook that lays out a way to think about building a private social network in a Facebook-dominated world. (via PaidContent)
David Carr of The New York Times suggests [...]

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Jobs, leverage & the future: Thoughts about the challenges of an economic hard place

January 25, 2010

Sometimes a confluence of unrelated inputs adjusts one’s perception of current and future circumstance. The adjustment doesn’t always have a re-orienting impact; often, it is more notable for confirming and strengthening a point of view.
At the end of last week, I shared a summary of Bloomberg headlines that seemed to capture a pirouette in [...]

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Home sales are within a normal band, but the market pressures are not

October 7, 2009

Earlier this year, I spent some time sifting through historical household and housing data to develop a perspective on what “normal” demand for homes was. One conclusion of that analysis, concluded in May, was there was roughly 18 months of excess housing inventory in the market, and as that inventory was worked through, home [...]

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The consumer recovery needs 15 million jobs created in 5 years…a formidable challenge

September 28, 2009

The New York Times this weekend had a stark picture of the imbalance of supply and demand in the employment. Nearly 14.5 million people are out of work and there are only about 2.4 million job openings in the U.S.

Coincidentally, John Mauldin’s letter this Saturday takes a close look at the scale of unemployment [...]

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