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United States

While the housing market overall feels choppy, looking at trends over the past couple of years shows that trends in home values and income are turning positive, after a tough two-year stretch.

Nielsen presents an interesting analysis of trends in these metrics at the county level, which helps to capture the real performance of local markets. Overall, 69% of U.S. counties reported an increase in home value in January 2010 versus 2009, compared to just 46% the prior year.

This local trend in home values is supported by increases in media household income, suggesting local employment markets have strengthened.

The macro trends are being influenced by a significant population shift.

The analysis also revealed that population decreased in 43% of U.S. counties between 2009 and 2010. These levels of county population change are similar to changes seen with recent demographic releases. Wayne County, Michigan topped the list of population losers, which is consistent with the economic downturn and job losses seen in the Detroit area.

Posted via email from Dan McCarthy’s Stream

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The cheapest food in the world

by drm on July 5, 2010


I was struck the other day by the observation that the start of our current recession was sharper than the Great Depression and that the steps taken by governments around the world to provide financial stimulus helped to moderate the decline.

That observation got me thinking about how different the images of this recession are from the images of the Great Depression.

The New York Times had a long article in the Week in Review section this week that captured some of the underlying difference.

A great many people have lost faith in powerful institutions, from Congress to Goldman Sachs. Yet beneath the bitterness coloring national affairs — down at the level of neighborhood, family, coffee shop, tavern — a tenuous belief in the collective good remains, perhaps moderating national dismay.

I don’t think that the Times article intended to demean the level of suffering and pain that individual people a experiencing during this downturn. But they captured something of the zeitgeist that I experience as a I travel around the country. People are carrying on, often with a tremendous amount of energy and a degree of mobility and connectedness that is unmatched by any time in our history.

That perspective made the chart above particularly powerful.

One dramatic difference is the relatively low cost of food in the U.S. compared to other places in the world. The affordability of food is driven by diverse factors, including vast natural resources of our country, federal subsidy programs, efficiencies in distribution and innovations in preservation.

And compared to other countries, there’s no other place on the planet that has cheaper food than the U.S. (2008 data here). The 5.5% of disposable income that Americans spend on food at home is less than half the amount of income spent by Germans (11.4%), the French (13.6%), the Italians (14.4%), and less than one-third the amount of income spent by consumers in South Africa (20.1%), Mexico (24.1%), and Turkey (24.5%), which is about what Americans spent DURING THE GREAT DEPRESSION, and far below what consumers spend in Kenya (45.9%) and Pakistan (45.6%).

When you don’t worry about where your next meal comes from, you can afford to feel optimistic and energetic. The relatively low cost of food in our country is an important element in keeping that positive viewpoint up

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Multi-channel branding fits the way consumers shop today

April 13, 2010

The lure of the Internet is that it’s a quick one-stop marketing solution — search, display, web site, conversion, sale — that puts a business within reach of the majority of U.S. shoppers.

This easy lure can obscure the value of creating a multi-channel brand, using multiple media and marketing messages, in order to stay prominently [...]

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The recession, household formation, the housing market and the recovery in the rental markets

April 9, 2010

The U.S. economy lost more than 1 million households during the recession, even as the population grew more than 3.5 million, driving down home ownership and increasing rental vacancies at a rate that hasn’t been experienced in more than a generation.
Just as economic distress reduced households, economic recovery will increase households, concludes USC professor Gary [...]

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Some economic reasons why we don’t need to keep looking over our shoulders.

April 9, 2010

I was reminded this week of a primary premise in evolutionary psychology: we’re genetically programmed to emphasize information about danger and minimize information about pleasure.
This is a gross simplification of interesting science, but is a useful overlay to the confluence of economic statistics and contradictory commentary in recent weeks.
In today’s New York Times, the [...]

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Web users spent 4 times longer on Facebook than Google in January

February 22, 2010

I found a few data points about U.S. internet usage in January from Nielsen, the media research firm, very interesting.
The first data set looked at the top 10 web brands in January.

Google was the most trafficked site in the month, with more than 153 million unique visitors, but Facebook was the most used site in [...]

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