Posts tagged as:

Wall Street Journal

Princeton professor Alan Blinder made a very clear, cogent argument in the Wall Street Journal today that the second of 2009 could outstrip expectations, a by-product of the economy bottoming out in the second quarter.

The catch: While GDP is likely to grow, the consumer experience is going to lag. Production is down, demand is down, and even with a slight increase, unemployment will continue to rise for a while.

The prognosis is good in the long term, but distressing in the short term.

I think it’s the realization that the recovery is going to be slow and painful that is dampening consumer sentiment.

Some excerpts and the link are below. I recommend it highly.
clipped from finance.yahoo.com
First, the good news. Right now, it looks like second-quarter GDP growth will come in only slightly negative, and third-quarter growth will finally turn positive. Compared to the catastrophic decline we recently experienced — with GDP dropping at roughly a 6% annual rate in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year — that would be a gigantic improvement.
Housing, which is down to 2.6% of GDP, will serve as an example. In the first quarter, spending on new homes declined at a stunning 39% annual rate. If that minus 39% number turned into a zero in a single quarter, that change alone would add a full percentage point to that quarter’s GDP growth (because 2.6% of 39% is about 1%). If the move to zero were to happen over two quarters, it would add about a half point to each. Many people think housing may in fact bottom out in the third or fourth quarter. Autos may already have passed their low point. And business investment will follow suit.
Share

{ 0 comments }

All media starts with content. And most content starts with creators. When we think about the future of content, we’re really asking how creative people will make money.

picture-26A while back I did some analysis of the economics of special interest publishing, and speculated about what a writer could make blogging about a passion. One conclusion was that with the barrier to entry so low for an individual to create compelling content about a passion, and the possibility of earning a living on their own so realistic, a lonely blogger became a fierce source of competition for a fully-staffed publication.

The Wall Street Journal ran an article today looking at just that question: the economics of the blogger. The results were bullish.

The best studies we can find say we are a nation of over 20 million bloggers, with 1.7 million profiting from the work, and 452,000 of those using blogging as their primary source of income. That’s almost 2 million Americans getting paid by the word, the post, or the click — whether on their site or someone else’s. And that’s nearly half a million of whom it can be said, as Bob Dylan did of Hurricane Carter: “It’s my work he’d say, I do it for pay.”

According to MediaFinder.com, there are just under 17,000 magazines in the U.S. If we assume that those magazines have an average editorial staff of 4, that would give us about 68,000 paid magazine editorial staffers. Assume that the magazines use about 10 freelancers a year and we’d have another 170,000 people getting paid for writing.

I’m hard pressed to get to 452,000 people making their money from writing for magazines.

So, nearly half a million people making money from blogs is either outlandishly wrong (and the writer did post a rebuttal to a number of comments suggesting he was way off base), or a profound testament to the ineffable power of Google’s Adsense network.

Share

{ 5 comments }

A look at February Home Sales over the past 3 years

March 25, 2009

A look at the February home sales numbers

Share
0 comments Read the full article →

Search marketing and brand marketing: Does the balance shift?

March 10, 2009

The economic downturn and predicted declines in media spending are forcing marketers to rethink how they think about search and brand marketing.

Related Posts with Thumbnails
Share
0 comments Read the full article →